Hokies simply overwhelmed by Blue Devils in second half

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

01/04/2009 - Durham, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kyle Singler totaled 19 points, eight rebounds and seven assists to lead fifth-ranked Duke to a 69-44 victory against Virginia Tech in the ACC opener for both schools at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Gerald Henderson added 15 points, eight boards and four helpers for the Blue Devils (12-1, 1-0 ACC), who improved to 41-15 all-time in ACC openers and posted a fourth straight win since suffering their only loss of the campaign to Michigan in Ann Arbor, December 6.

Nolan Smith chipped in 13 points and Jon Scheyer 11 in the win.

Malcolm Delaney was the high scorer with 12 points for the Hokies (9-5, 0-1), who saw their four-game win streak come to an end. Jeff Allen had nine points and A.D. Vassallo seven in the loss.

Each of Tech's four losses prior to the game had come by four or fewer points, including a pair of one-point setbacks, but the Hokies went cold in the second half, hitting just 6-of-18 from the floor en route to the 25-point drubbing.

Virginia Tech kept things close in the first half despite falling behind 11-0 out of the gate. A three-pointer from Vassallo got the Hokies within six, 23-17, but Duke showed its fire-power and answered with a 9-2 spurt. Henderson started the run with a three and ended with a slam to make it 32-19 with 5:41 left in the half.

A trio of Delaney jumpers over the final 2:24 got the Hokies within eight, 39-31, at the break.

It was all Blue Devils in the second half, though, outscoring Tech by a 30-13 margin en route to an easy win. The Hokies' top three scorers in Vassallo, Delaney and Allen went for a combined five points and Tech got just six total field goals in the frame on the way to a 36.7 percent shooting effort overall.

Duke shot 40.7 percent from the floor for the game and connected on 19-of-20 free throw attempts.

Game Notes

Duke owns a 34-7 series lead over Virginia Tech, including wins in nine of the last 11 meetings with the Hokies...Tech committed 18 turnovers and got to the line just 12 times, making seven of those attempts...Duke owned the glass by a 38-28 margin.

Nikansports NCAA Basketball Betting News

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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